Study: Republican Evolution Deniers Increase in 2013

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republicans-evolution

Republicans are not evolving, they are are devolving, and speaking of evolution it’s becoming even more clear that the GOP is the anti-science party and they aren’t getting more rational. On the contrary they are becoming less rational in their thinking.

The Pew Research Center released new numbers Monday on how Americans view evolution. (The question was asked in a way to include those who believe God or a supreme being guided the process.) About six in 10 accept it, the poll found, but the partisan divide is wide:

It’s not surprising that Republicans are less likely to believe in evolution that Democrats are; while the numbers vary from survey to survey, there has been a consistent gap. Republicans are also less likely to believe that the earth’s climate is warming, or, if they accept that it is, to believe that the change is caused by human activity. But belief in climate change is actually on the uptick, among both Democrats and Republicans, having reached a nadir in 2009. (Some academics believe the recession helped to depress belief in warming, as people’s worries about their immediate livelihood trumped longer-term concerns.)

What’s surprising in the new Pew evolution numbers is the trend—a more than 10-point drop in belief among Republicans. What explains it?

Pew doesn’t speculate but remarks on the confusing result:

Differences in the racial and ethnic composition of Democrats and Republicans or differences in their levels of religious commitment do not wholly explain partisan differences in beliefs about evolution. Indeed, the partisan differences remain even when taking these other characteristics into account.

One possibility is that respondents who identified as Republican and believed in evolution in 2009 are no longer identifying as Republicans. Fewer scientists, for example, are reportedly identifying with the GOP, and the overall trend is for fewer Americans to call themselves Republicans. But both Gallup and separate polling from Pew found approximately the same party ID in 2009 and 2013.

Another is that the rise of “intelligent design” education has helped to swing younger Americans against evolution. Yet the age breakdown remains similar in 2009 and 2013, with respondents ages 18 to 29 most likely to believe in evolution.

What does that leave? Maybe the gap represents an emotional response by Republicans to being out of power. Among others, Chris Mooney has argued that beliefs on politically contentious topics are often more rooted in opposition to perceived attacks than anything else—an instance of “motivated reasoning.” Given that Democrats have controlled the White House and Senate since 2009, this could be backlash to the political climate, though it will be hard to tell until Republicans control Washington again.

Of course, motivated reasoning might help explain why many Democrats also believe in evolution.

Many thanks to The Atlantic for story contributions.

About Post Author

Professor Mike

Professor Mike is a left-leaning, dog loving, political junkie. He has written dozens of articles for Substack, Medium, Simily, and Tribel. Professor Mike has been published at Smerconish.com, among others. He is a strong proponent of the environment, and a passionate protector of animals. In addition he is a fierce anti-Trumper. Take a moment and share his work.
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10 years ago

Evolution must be true! My wife is a very clever lady so if she says it’s true it is. I’m not sure why she keeps referring to me as ‘the missing link’ though.

Jess
10 years ago

Damn, these are some really stupid people aren’t they. No wonder the Chamber of Commerce is starting up yet another PAC so they can funnel money into republican coffers to keep the crazies out.

Jess
Reply to  Professor Mike
10 years ago

Ya lucky bastard. I’ll bet it makes you feel good, knowing you are smarter than about 99% of the people around you. I can’t give you a full 100% since you have Julie and some dogs. Sorry dude.

Reply to  Jess
10 years ago

Actually, knowing you’re smarter than most of the people around you is kind of depressing. Especially when you know that you’re not all that smart anyway.

Jess
Reply to  James Smith
10 years ago

There is a quote I attach to all of my emails, /..the big trouble with dumb bastards is that they are too dumb to believe there is such a thing as being smart.” Kurt Vonnegut. Me, I like being smart, it confuses people.

Stacey Gray
10 years ago

I have to expect that, and I believe the raw data suggests that the majority of the shift for both parties is that people with any sense and/or a basis in science are abandoning the batshit crazy Republican party and going over to either Democrat or independent self identification. Hence the belief is not changing so much as the choice to be identified with the crazies – or not!

10 years ago

We have to admit, they are on a roll – downhill, that’s true. Downhill is so much easier than uphill isn’t it? Uphill requires effort and thinking. That’s way too much trouble.

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